Causal Misperceptions of the Part-Time Pay Gap
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper studies if workers infer from correlation about causal effects in the context of part-time wage penalty. Differences hourly pay between full-time and are strongly driven by worker selection systematic sorting. Ignoring these can lead to biased expectations consequences working on wages (’selection neglect bias’). Based representative survey data Germany, we document substantial misperceptions gap. Workers overestimate how much their occupation earn per hour, whereas they approximately informed mean rates. Consistent with neglect, those who perceive large differences also predict changes when a given switches employment. Causal analyses using experiment reveal that providing information raw gap increases premium factor 1.7, suggesting individuals draw conclusions observed correlations. De-biasing respondents informing them influence characteristics gaps mitigates neglect. Subjective beliefs part-time/full-time predictive planned actual transitions employment, necessitating prevention misperceptions.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Labour Economics
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['1879-1034', '0927-5371']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2023.102396